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The objective of this paper is to calculate, model, and forecast realized volatility using high-frequency stock … volatility. Second, as a result of several test statistics for long memory in realized volatility, it is found that the realized … volatility series can be modelled as an ARFIMA process. The ARFIMA's forecasting performance is assessed in a simulation study …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005706766
The commercial mortgage-backed security market has experienced rapid growth in recent years, and is now the second most important source of intermediation to the commercial real estate sector. Despite its growing importance, relatively little academic research has questioned the apparent success...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005343005
Following the lead of Merton (1974), recent research has focused on the relationship of credit risk to firm value. Although this has usually been done for a single firm, the growth of structured finance, which necessarily involves the correlation between included securities, has spurred interest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005706230
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005537682
, and hence lead to higher probability of bank failure. However, this criticism does not consider the implicit costs of … bankruptcy. If a bank is bankrupt, it will lose the benefit of deposit insurance. Moreover, it will lose the possible future … find a closed-form solution for bank equity in terms of asset-to-debt ratio. In my extension model, I relax the assumption …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005537475
. Volatility is studied both at the industry level (for 34 different industries from 1974-2003) and at the firm level (for 5 … mixed. A relationship between innovation and volatility emerges most strongly with firm level data, when firm dimension is … accounted for, and when time varying volatility is explicitly studied via GARCH analysis. The latter highlights the distinctive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005706305
We investigate the predictability of both volatility and volume for a large sample of Japanese stocks. The particular …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005706539
purposes, we construct an agent-based simulation model with asset traders, commercial banks and a central bank. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005343012
central bank response to inflation generates equilibrium indeterminacy. The model is calibrated on the magnitude of the … historical shift in the Fed's policy rule and is capable of reproducing the decline in the volatility of postwar U.S. inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005132606
This paper adds oil prices to an estimated DSGE model for the euro area. The price of oil is an important macroeconomic driving factor for most industrialised countries. The euro area is importing most of its oil from abroad; therefore changes in oil prices have effects on domestic income via the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005132642