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rules. Accordingly, we augment a standard inflation targeting model in which a forward-looking version of the Taylor rule …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005706735
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Unrestricted reduced form vector autoregressive (VAR) models have become a dominant research strategy in empirical macroeconomics since Sims (1980) critique of traditional macroeconometric modeling. They are however subjected to the curse of dimensionality. In this paper we propose...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005345588
deviations of inflation from target, but not to monetary growth. This result is at odds with the Bundesbank´s claim that it … Bundesbank took its monetary targets seriously, but also responded to deviations of expected inflation and output growth from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005132654
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For univariate time series we suggest a new variant of efficient score tests against fractional alternatives. This test has three important merits. First, by means of simulations we observe that it is superior in terms of size and power in some situations of practical interest. Second, it is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005132878
We present a multivariate generalization of the simple markov-switching model. We allow for the introduction of several latent processes that have a simple parametric distribution. The matrix-variate bernoulli distribution yields a flexible yet parsimonious pattern of dependence between the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342985
This paper proposes a new empirical representation of US inflation expectations in a Stace-Space Markov … explicitly identify the dynamic of inflation expectation errors using the expectations augmented Markov-switching Phillips curve … as a measurement equation. In this paper we consider expected inflation as an underlying component of observed inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005345273
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