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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005345653
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-complexity theory: that the historic limits of centralized systems, and the eventual prevalence of decentralized monetary exchange, were …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005706275
While under recursive least squares learning the dynamics of the economy converges to rational expectations equilibria (REE) which are E–stable, some recent examples propose that E–stability is not a sufficient condition for learnability. In this paper, we provide some further...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342872
Emprical studies of hyperinflations reveal that the rational expectations hypothesis fails to hold. To address this issue, we study a model of hyperinflation and learning in an attempt to better understand the volatility in movements of expectations, money, and prices. The findings surprisingly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342881
We provide sufficient conditions and necessary conditions for stability of an economy under structural mixed recursive least squares/stochastic gradient heterogeneous learning of agents with possibly different degrees of inertia. We have found a unifying condition which is sufficient for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342904
The assumption of perfectly rational representative agents is now commonly questioned. This paper explores the equilibrium properties of boundedly rational heterogeneous agents. We combine an adaptive learning process in a modified cobweb model within a Stackleberg framework. We assume that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342936
In this paper we perform an in—depth investigation of relative merits of two adaptive learning algorithms with constant gain, Recursive Least Squares (RLS) and Stochastic Gradient (SG), using the Phelps model of monetary policy as a testing ground. The behavior of the two learning...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342959
This paper introduces model uncertainty into a simple Lucas-type monetary model. Inflation depends on agents' expectations and a vector of exogenous random variables. Following (Branch and Evans 2004) agents are assumed to underparameterize their forecasting models. A Misspecification...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005345070
This paper studies a game theoretic model where agents choose between two updating rules to predict a future endogenous variable. Agents rationally choose between these predictors based on relative performance. Conditions for evolutionary stability and stability under learning are found for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005345275