This paper uses real-time data and forecasts provided in historical briefing documents prepared for the Federal Open Market Committee of the United States Federal Reserve to estimate evolving central bank perceptions of the natural rate of unemployment. The briefing documents, informally known...

The method of maximum likelihood is used to estimate a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium business cycle model that combines elements of existing sticky-price and limited-participation specifications. Sticky prices are incorporated, following Rotemberg (1982), by assuming that...

Several authors have presented reduced-form evidence suggesting that the degree of exchange-rate pass-through to the consumer price index has declined in Canada since the 1970s and is currently close to zero. Authors such as Taylor (2000) suggest that this is due to a change in the conduct of...

We build a small open-economy model with partial financial dollarization--households hold wealth in domestic currency and a foreign currency; firms also have a balance sheet mismatch as in Gertler, Gilchrist and Natalucci (2001). The degree of dollarization is endogenous to the extent of...

This paper examines the role of housing decisions on business cycles fluctuations. We use an overlapping generation model where to acquire a house whose services are an argument in the utility function households have to save for a down payment and make a long term financial committment. Because...

This paper aims to evaluate the importance of frictions in credit markets for business cycles in the U.S. and the Euro area. For this purpose, I modify the DSGE financial accelerator model developed by Bernanke, Gertler and Gilchrist (1999) and estimate it using Bayesian methods. The model is...