We use a dynamic general equilibrium model of the world economy to assess the economic implications of higher vulnerability from extreme meteorological events. In particular, we consider the impact of climate change on ENSO/NAO cycles, and the implied variation on regional expected damages, due...

The analysis of many complex problems and complex dynamic systems suggests that there are dependencies between high complexity and properties of the underlying structures, as the existence of large grids, non-regularities and inhomogeneous structures and irregular flows of information. These...

Literature on environment and endogenous growth suggests that sustainable growth critically depends on technological innovations. In this paper, technological progress takes the form of an expansion in the variety of inputs. In a first scenario, a closed economy is endowed with a renewable...

We connect two major strands of the recent monetary policy literature, i) the search for well microfounded optimising models consistent with macroeconomic data, especially persistence in inflation, and ii) the wealth of newly available microeconomic data on price changing behaviour from the...

Monetary policymakers face considerable uncertainty and have to use judgment. When the monetary policy committee (MPC) has to reach a decision based on different judgments among its members, various judgment aggregation problems may occur. Here, we consider an aggregation problem called the...

For policymakers, thinking about best practice monetary policy means thinking about uncertainty. Open economy monetary policymakers face an additional source of uncertainty – exchange rate dynamics. This paper identifies policy rules robust to the open economy inflation targeters face in...

Papers estimating the reaction function of the Bundesbank generally find that ist monetary policy from the 1970s to 1998 can well be captured by a standard Taylor rule according to which the central bank responds to the output gap and to deviations of inflation from target, but not to monetary...

The New-Keynesian Phillips curve plays a central role in modern macroeconomic theory. A vast empirical literature has estimated this structural relationship over various postwar full-samples. While it is well know that in a New-Keynesian model a `weak' central bank response to inflation...