We use a dynamic general equilibrium model of the world economy to assess the economic implications of higher vulnerability from extreme meteorological events. In particular, we consider the impact of climate change on ENSO/NAO cycles, and the implied variation on regional expected damages, due...

The analysis of many complex problems and complex dynamic systems suggests that there are dependencies between high complexity and properties of the underlying structures, as the existence of large grids, non-regularities and inhomogeneous structures and irregular flows of information. These...

Literature on environment and endogenous growth suggests that sustainable growth critically depends on technological innovations. In this paper, technological progress takes the form of an expansion in the variety of inputs. In a first scenario, a closed economy is endowed with a renewable...

This paper sets out first, to quantify the stabilization gains from commitment in terms of household welfare and second, to examine how commitment to an optimal or approximately optimal rule can be sustained as an equilibrium in which reneging hardly ever occurs. We utilize an influential...

We study the effects of optimized monetary policy in a semi-structural, estimated small open economy in situations where the policymaker has either complete or less than complete confidence in the model being free from misspecification errors. We use the robust control techniques developed by...

Paper presents various dynamic FX rate simulation models based upon time-dependent market clearing conditions. Discussed nonlinear models follow classical concept of computer agent interactions between chartists and fundamentalists. Within each trading period agents select proper trading rules...

This paper documents the out-of-sample forecasting accuracy of the New Keynesian Model for Canadian data. We repeatedly estimate the model over samples of increasing lengths, forecasting out-of-sample one to four quarters ahead at each step. We then compare these forecasts with those arising...

The Fed closely monitors the stock market and the stock market continuously forms expectations about the Fed decisions. What does this imply for the relation between the fed funds rate and the S&P500? We find that the answer depends on the conditions prevailing on the financial market. During...