In this paper, we investigate the behavior of the exchange rate within the framework of an asset pricing model. We assume boundedly rational agents who use simple rules to forecast the future exchange rate. They test these rules continuously using two learning mechanisms. The first one, the...

We develop a model of a small open economy with three types of nominal rigidities (domestic goods prices, imported goods prices and wages) and eight different structural shocks. We estimate the model's structural parameters using a maximum likelihood procedure and use it to compute...

This paper tests for long run PPP using a nonstationary panel regression framework that can accommodate both permanent and temporary shocks. It also uses the common correlated estimator of Pesaran (2003a) to take account of cross sectional dependence. The PPP null in our framework is a unit...

Monte Carlo simulations are used to explore the small-sample properties of a mean group and two pooled panel estimators of a regression coefficient when the regressor is I(1). We compare and contrast the effect of I(0) and I(1) errors and homogeneous and heterogeneous coefficients in a design...

This paper explores the phenomenon of lasting deviations of the exchange rate from its fundamental value in the foreign exchange market. Motivated by empirical observations a chartists-fundamentalists model is developed in which boundedly rational agents repeatedly choose between technical and...

This paper extends the framework provided by Aksoy, De Grauwe, Dewachter (2000). We first provide an econometric analysis of the stabilising properties of the monetary policy in the EMU countries within an open economy framework and obtain optimal feedback rules for monetary policymaking. In a...