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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005345458
The paper recognizes that expectations and the process of their formation are subject to standard decision making and are determined as a part of equilibrium. Accordingly, the paper presents a basic framework in which the form of expectation formation is a choice variable. At any point in time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005345077
demand, consistent with the effect of a consumption preference shock predicted by the model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005132587
employment adjustment implies a key role for labor markets in determining shock propagation. We consider three policy instruments … to analyze the steady state and dynamic effects of tax reforms: the marginal tax rate and replacement ratio amplify shock … initially proportional, increasing progression is beneficial for output and employment and dampens shock responses of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005132603
The aim of the present work is to test the predictive power of the term spread in forecasting real economic growth rates and recession probabilities in Italy. According to the most recent literature, the relationship between the term spread and economic growth rates is modelled as a nonlinear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005132627
allow for its somewhat simplified empirical estimation. The model now exhibits a Taylor interest rate rule in the place of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005132651
typical NAC perceives an EU technology disturbance as a positive supply shock and an EU monetary expansion as a negative … demand shock. When we split the seven countries into two groups, results for group one which includes the Czech Republic …, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia suggest that an EU supply shock feeds through as a demand shock, increasing both prices and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005132657
We estimate a time-varying coefficient VAR model for the U.S. economy to analyse (i) if the effect of monetary policy on output has been changing systematically over time, and (ii) if monetary policy has asymmetric effects over the business cycle. We find that the impact of monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005132667
We study optimal monetary policy in a two-sector model. The conventional wisdom in the literature is that the monetary authority should optimally stabilize inflation in the sticky-price sector. We reassess this issue in a two sector economy with capital accumulation subject to adjustment costs....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005132669
The New-Keynesian Phillips curve plays a central role in modern macroeconomic theory. A vast empirical literature has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005132684