Showing 1 - 10 of 189
coupon securities is not a direct measure of inflation expectations, because it contains inflation risk premium, and because … using data from the (indexed) real bond market, we cannot fully identify the real interest rate from the inflation risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005343003
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005345650
risk premia and the slope and level of the yield curve. In a world of technology shocks only, increasing the degree of real … rigidities raises risk premia and increasing nominal rigidities reduces risk premia. In a world of monetary policy shocks only …. Using a second-order numerical solution to the model, we examine bond and equity returns, the equity risk premium, and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005132631
This paper examines a recent shift in the dynamics of the term structure and interest rate risk. We first use standard … attributed to changes in the pricing of risk associated with a "level" factor. Finally, we suggest a link between the shift in … term structure behavior and changes in the risk and dynamics of the inflation target as perceived by investors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005537499
We investigate the effects of U.S. monetary policy on asset prices using a high-frequency event-study analysis. We test whether these effects are adequately captured by a single factor—changes in the federal funds rate target—and find that they are not. Instead, we find that two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005343028
This paper estimates the size and dynamics of inflation risk premia in the euro area using information from nominal and … index-linked yields. Our main result is that the inflation risk premium on long-term nominal yields is nonnegligible from an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005706251
This paper proposes a methodolgy to estimate structural macroeconomic models including non-stationary steady state dynamics. Using a transitory-permanent decomposition of the Euler equations, the method first solves for the transitory dynamics and subsequently provides the solution for the full...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005706563
This paper shows that the recent literature that tests for a long-run Fisher relationship using cointegration analysis is seriously flawed. Cointegration analysis assumes that the variables in question are I(1) or I(d) with the same d. Using monthly post-war U.S. data from 1959-1997, we show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005132854
Many have questioned the empirical relevance of the Calvo-Yun model. This paper appends three widely-studied macroeconomic models (Calvo-Yun, Hybrid and Svensson) with forward rate curves. We back out from observations on the yield curve the underlying macroeconomic model that most closely...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005537446
policy rates. Our findings suggest that the importance of fluctuations of risk premia in explaining the deviation from the ET …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005537609