Many empirical studies have analyzed the interations between the stock market and aggregate economic activity by examining either their short run or long run relationships, as the time series methodologies employed (cointegration analysis) may separate out just two time scales in economic time...

An effective and easy-to-implement frequency filter is designed by convolving a Hamming window with the ideal rectangular filter response function. Three other filters, Hodrick-Prescott, Baxter-King, and Christiano-Fitzgerald, are critically reviewed. The behavior of the Hamming-windowed filter...

Grandmont (1985) found that the parameter space of even the simplest, most classical models are stratified into bifurcation regions. Barnett and He (1999,2002) subsequently found transcritical, codimension-two, and Hopf bifurcation boundaries within the parameter space of the policy-relevant...

We argue that the fiscal policies adopted early in World War I by the U.K. were responsible for its poor economic performance during the interwar period. In September 1915, the U.K. embarked on a set of non-tax-smoothing policies collectively known as the McKenna rule. The key dictum of the...

We construct a state space model for measuring real economic activity in real time (e.g., minute by minute) using a variety of stock and flow data, observed at mixed frequencies. Our data set comprises macroeconomic and financial variables: GDP, IP, unemployment, stock and bond market data, and...

On the one hand, recently a number of theoretical models have highlighted the role of credit market frictions in propagating and amplifying macroeconomic shocks. On the other hand, it still seems an open question whether this role is quantitatively significant. Our paper tries to fill this gap....

This paper studies the role of credit market development in an economy with credit frictions. I examine how the provision of credit in connection with collateral assets affects economic performance and the business cycle. In the framework of an economy in which credit constraints arise because...

In this paper we develop a likelihood based approach for estimating the joint equilibrium parameter distribution in random coefficient-random utility models. Under this demand specification and a profit maximizing supply specification, the equilibrium distribution of prices and quantities has an...