This paper reports fiÂndings from an experiment that implements the Lagos-Wright(2005) model of monetary exchange. We find that subjects generally avoid the autarkic equilibrium of that model and make trading decisions consistent with the monetary equilibrium predictions of that model....

We propose to experimentally study decentralized organization learning. Our objective is to understand how learning members of an organization cope with the confounding effects of the simultaneous learning of other agents. An important distinction of our approach is that we test predictions from...

We study a theory in which households borrow during the first half of a 241-period life cycle as part of a DSGE. Households confront a persistent regime-switching process on aggregate labor productivity growth. When the economy switches to the high growth regime, there is more borrowing based on...

We formulate the central bank's problem of selecting an optimal long-run inflation rate as the choice of a distorting tax by a planner who wishes to maximize discounted stationary utility for a heterogeneous population of infinitely-lived households in an economy with constant aggregate income....

The U.S economy has accumulated in recent years seemingly excessive levels of household debt. U.S monetary policy has responded to the situation by keeping real interest rates low. Critics of the low real interest rate policy contend that such a policy helps borrowers and punishes savers, thus...

We study the connections between determinacy of rational expectations equilibrium, and expectational stability or learnability of that equilibrium, in a relatively general New Keynesian model. Adoption of policies that induce both determinacy and learnability of equilibrium has been considered...

We study a stylized theory of the volatility reduction in the U.S. after 1984---the Great Moderation---which attributes part of the stabilization to less volatile shocks and another part to more difficult inference on the part of Bayesian households attempting to learn the latent state of the...

We study how the use of judgement or add-factors in macroeconomic forecasting may disturb the set of equilibrium outcomes when agents learn using recursive methods. We isolate conditions under which "exuberance equilibria" exist in standard macroeconomic environments. These equilibria may...