If borrowing capacity of indebted households is tied to the value of their home, house prices should enter a correctly specified aggregate Euler equation for consumption. I develop a simple two-agent, dynamic general equilibrium model in which home (collateral) values affect debt capacity and...

This paper estimates the effects of technology shocks in Bayesian VAR models of the United States, Japan and West Germany, imposing restrictions on the sign of impulse responses. These restrictions are motivated with explicit priors on the parameters of a dynamic general equilibrium model...

A central debate in applied macroeconomics is whether statistical tools that use minimal identifying assumptions are useful for isolating promising models within a broad class. In this paper, I extend the analysis of Chari, Kehoe, and McGrattan (2005) to compare four statistical...

We provide a framework for inference in discrete games that involve multiple decision makers and use it to study airline market structure in the US. We make inferences on a ``class of models'' rather that looking for point identifying assumptions that pin down a unique model. We extend the...

We propose a method for point estimation of discrete games similar to those considered by Bresnahan and Reiss (1991). In the model, the vNM utilities are a function of observed co-variates and random preference shocks. The model also explicitly parametrizes the probability of selecting a given...

Three of the most important recent facts in global macroeconomics — the sustained rise in the US current account deficit, the stubborn decline in long run real rates, and the rise in the share of US assets in global portfolio — appear as anomalies from the perspective of...

This article complements the structural New-Keynesian macro framework with a no-arbitrage term structure model. Whereas our methodology is general, we focus on an extended macro-model with an unobservable time-varying markup and stochastic risk aversion. Term structure information helps to...