We build a macroeconomic model of financial intermediation in which intermediaries issue equity without friction. In normal times, they maximize liquidity creation by levering up the collateral value of their assets, a process we call shadow banking. A rise in uncertainty causes investors to...

Uncertainty plays a key role in economics, finance, and decision sciences. Financial markets, in particular derivative markets, provide fertile ground for understanding how perceptions of economic uncertainty and cashflow risk manifest themselves in asset prices. We demonstrate that the variance...

In this paper we estimate the elasticity of exports to credit shocks. As a source of variation, we exploit the disproportionate reduction in credit supply by banks with high share of foreign liabilities during the 2008 financial crisis. Using matched customs and firm-level bank credit data from...