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Currencies that are at a forward premium tend to depreciate. This `forward premium-depreciation anomaly' represents an egregious deviation from uncovered interest parity. We document the returns to currency speculation strategies that exploit this anomaly. The first strategy, known as the carry...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005090763
volatility of excess stock market returns, often referred to as the risk-return relation. Unfortunately, the body of empirical … the relatively small amount of conditioning information used to model the conditional mean and conditional volatility of … conditioning variables, measures of conditional mean and conditional volatility--and ultimately the risk-return relation itself …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004977922
We quantify the effect of financial leverage on stock return volatility in a dynamic general equilibrium economy with … generates little variation in stock return volatility at the market level but significant variation at the individual firm level … stock return volatility at the market and firm level. In such an economy, financial leverage has little effect on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004977944
Value stocks have higher average returns than growth stocks. At the same time, the duration of value stocks' cash flows is considerably shorter than that of growth stocks. We show that when investors can fully distinguish short- and long-run consumption risk components of dividend growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005069207
Evidence of stock return predictability by financial ratios is still controversial, as documented by inconsistent results for in-sample and out-of-sample regressions and by substantial parameter instability. This paper shows that these seemingly incompatible results can be reconciled if the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005069286
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005069379
episode of Argentina. In particular, we try to account for the shifts in maturity structure before crisis and the volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005069228
The ability to insure against idiosyncratic endowment risk depends on the organization of markets and the availability of consumption insurance. When all agents are identical ex ante and there are complete contingent claims, then full insurance can be achieved. Simple frictions, such as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005069309
This paper contributes to the literature comparing the relative performance of financial intermediaries and markets by studying an environment in which a trade-off between risk sharing and growth arises endogenously. Financial intermediaries provide insurance to households against a liquidity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004970349
In contrast to the standard economics theory, an analysis of the Survey of Consumer Finance shows that wealthy investors have a higher return on their stocks than their poorer counterparts. The paper presents a general financial and economic theory of risk and search behavior to address the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005069353