Showing 1 - 10 of 26
A system of U.S. and euro area short- and long-term interest rates is analyzed. According to the expectations hypothesis of the term structure the interest rate spreads should be stationary and according to the uncovered interest rate parity the difference between the U.S. and euro area longterm...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005861983
autoregressive processes revealing time-varying stochastic volatility. The factor volatilities capture risk inherent to the term … additional determinants of future excess returns. Finally, we illustrate that the yield and volatility factors are closely …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005860483
In this paper we propose a jump-diffusion Libor model with jumps in ahigh-dimensional space (R^m) and test a stable non-parametric calibrationalgorithm which takes into account a given local covariance structure.The algorithm returns smooth and simply structured Lévy densities, andpenalizes the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005861419
In this paper we adopt a principal components analysis (PCA) to reduce the dimensionality of the term structure and employ autoregressive models (AR) to forecast principal components which, in turn, are used to forecast swap rates. Arguing in favor of structural variation, we propose data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005860579
Recently, Diebold and Li (2003) obtained good forecasting results foryield curves in a reparametrized Nelson-Siegel framework. We analyze similarmodeling approaches for price curves of variance swaps that serve nowadaysas hedging instruments for options on realized variance. We consider the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005854703
This paper addresses the question of the British state of convergence towards the Euro area, compared to the USA. Economically, the analysis is based on dependences in the money and capital markets, namely the uncovered interest parity (UIP) and the expectation hypothesis of the term structure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005854717
volatility and long-term trend are driven by an external stochastic factor process. The robust utility functional is defined in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008939751
heteroscedasticity of the structural volatility innovations, and estimation takes place in an appropriately specified state space setup …Information ows across international financial markets typically occur within hours, making volatility spillover appear … contemporaneous in daily data. Such simultaneous transmission of variances is featured by the stochastic volatility model developed in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005860498
In this paper, we study the dynamic interdependencies between high-frequency volatility, liquidity demand as well as …. Liquidity is causal for future volatility but not vice versa. Furthermore, trade sizes are negatively driven bypast trading …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005860504
Measuring and modeling financial volatility is the key to derivative pricing, asset allocation and risk management. The … the daily or lower frequency volatility can be obtained by summing over squared high-frequency returns. In turn, this so …{called realized volatility can be used for more accurate model evaluation and description of the dynamic and distributional structure …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005860514