Blaskowitz, Oliver; Herwartz, Helmut - Sonderforschungsbereich Ökonomisches Risiko <Berlin> - 2008
employ autoregressive models (AR) to forecast principal components which, in turn, are used to forecast swap rates. Arguing …. To evaluate ex-ante forecastingperformance for particular rates, different forecast features such as mean squared errors … offers additional forecast accuracy in terms of directional accuracy and big hit ability. …