Showing 1 - 10 of 61
We present an object-oriented software framework allowing to specify, solve, and estimate nonlinear dynamic general equilibrium (DSGE) models. The implemented solution methods for finding the unknown policy function are the standard linearization around the deterministic steady state, and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005860533
We present a comprehensive framework for Bayesian estimation of structural nonlinear dynamic economic models on sparse grids. The Smolyak operator underlying the sparse grids approach frees global approximation from the curse of dimensionality and we apply it to a Chebyshev approximation of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005860578
particular parameter uncertainty is important for long-run forecasts. This implies that hitherto existing forecasting methods …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005860485
We use a Bayesian dynamic factor model to measure Germanys pre WorldWar I economic activity. The procedure makes better use of existing time seriesdata than historical national accounting. To investigate industrializationwe propose to look at comovement between sectors. We find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005861003
We analyze the impact of short-run economic fluctuations on age-specific mortality usingBayesian time series econometrics and contribute to the debate on the procyclicality ofmortality. For the first time, we examine the differing consequences of economic changesfor all individual age classes....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005862544
In this note we establish the existence of the first two moments of the asymptotic tracestatistic, which appears as weak limit of the likelihood ratio statistic for testing the cointe-gration rank in a vector autoregressive model and whose moments may be used to developpanel cointegration tests....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008939788
In this paper, we study the dynamic interdependencies between high-frequency volatility, liquidity demand as well as trading costs in an electronic limit order book market. Using data from the Australian Stock Exchange we model 1-minsquared mid-quote returns, average trade sizes, number of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005860504
market volatility, with significant impact on pricing and forecasting of market volatility. The implication is that models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005860751
We introduce a multivariate multiplicative error model which is driven by componentspecific observation driven dynamics as well as a common latent autoregressive factor. The model is designed to explicitly account for (information driven) common factor dynamics as well as idiosyncratic effects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005860983
of improved forecasting,we model the long memory in levels and absolute returns using theclass of fractional integrated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005861020