In this paper we analyse bootstrap procedures for systems cointegration tests with a prior adjustment for deterministic terms suggested by Saikkonen & Lüutkepohl (2000b) and Saikkonen,Lütkepohl & Trenkler (2006). The asymptotic properties of the bootstrap test procedures are derived and their...

In this note we establish the existence of the first two moments of the asymptotic tracestatistic, which appears as weak limit of the likelihood ratio statistic for testing the cointe-gration rank in a vector autoregressive model and whose moments may be used to developpanel cointegration tests....

In this paper, we give an overview of the state-of-the-art in the econometric literature on the modeling of so-called financial point processes. The latter are associated with the random arrival of specific financial trading events, such as transactions, quote updates, limit orders or price...

We propose a general class of Markov-switching-ARFIMA processes in order to combine strands of long memory and Markov-switching literature. Although the coverage of this class of models is broad, we show that these models can be easily estimated with the DLV algorithm proposed. This algorithm...

The behaviour of market agents has always been extensively covered in the literature. Risk averse behaviour, described by von Neumann and Morgenstern (1944) via a concave utility function, is considered to be a cornerstone of classical economics. Agents prefer a fixed profit over uncertain...

We introduce new stylometry tools based on the sliced conditional compression complexity of literary texts which are inspired by the nearly optimal application of the incomputable Kolmogorov conditional complexity (and presumably approximates it). Whereas other stylometry tools can occasionally...

We consider the problem of estimating the fractional order of a L´evyprocess from low frequency historical and options data. An estimationmethodology is developed which allows us to treat both estimation andcalibration problems in a unified way. The corresponding procedureconsists of two steps:...

The purpose of this paper is to propose a new likelihood-based panel cointegration testin the presence of a linear time trend in the data generating process. This new test is an extensionof the likelihood ratio (LR) test of Saikkonen & L¨utkepohl (2000) for trend-adjusteddata to the panel data...

This paper offers a new method for estimation and forecasting of the linear and nonlinear time series when the stationarity assumption is violated. Our general local parametric approach particularly applies to general varying-coefficient parametric models, such as AR or GARCH, whose coefficients...

A new test for constant correlation is proposed. Based on the bivariate Student-t distribution, this test is derived as Lagrange multiplier (LM) test. Whereas most of the traditional tests (e.g. Jennrich, 1970, Tang, 1995 and Goetzmann, Li & Rouwenhorst, 2005) specify the unknown correlations as...