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We focus on the construction of confidence corridors for multivariate nonparametric generalized quantile regression functions. This construction is based on asymptotic results for the maximal deviation between a suitable nonparametric estimator and the true function of interest which follow...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010772306
Many industries are exposed to weather risk which they can transfer on financial markets via weather derivatives. Equilibrium models based on partial market clearing became a useful tool for pricing such kind of financial instruments. In a multi-period equilibrium pricing model agents rebalance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009275681
In this paper we introduce the dynamic semiparametric factor model (DSFM) for electricity forward curves. The biggest advantage of our approach is that it not only leads to smooth, seasonal forward curves extracted from exchange traded futures and forward electricity contracts, but also to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005207927
The behaviour of market agents has always been extensively covered in the literature. Risk averse behaviour, described by von Neumann and Morgenstern (1944) via a concave utility function, is considered to be a cornerstone of classical economics. Agents prefer a fixed profit over uncertain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005677887
modelling bias and estimation (in)efficiency. In forecasting, the proposed adaptive approach significantly outperforms a MEM … where local estimation windows are fixed on an ad hoc basis. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010544325
A flexible statistical approach for the analysis of time-varying dynamics of transaction data on financial markets is here applied to intra-day trading strategies. A local adaptive technique is used to successfully predict financial time series, i.e., the buyer and the seller-initiated trading...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010895342
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005652746
In illiquid markets, option traders may have an incentive to increase their portfolio value by using their impact on the dynamics of the underlying. We provide a mathematical framework within which to value derivatives under market impact in a multi-player framework by introducing strategic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008629516
default swap spread returns to the concept of 4CoVaR suggested by Adrian and Brunnermeier (2011). The interconnection and … volatility and implementing the variable selection technique least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), the results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010772307
illiquidity issue. One faces the problem in estimation by e.g. kernel techniques that there are not enough observations locally …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010658762