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Normal distribution of the residuals is the traditional assumption in the classical multivariate time series models. Nevertheless it is not very often consistent with the real data. Copulae allows for an extension of the classical time series models to nonelliptically distributed residuals. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005016234
estimation and different Goodness-of-Fit tests for model selection. In the GoF section we apply Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Cramer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008552435
-Gaussian dependency structures with a small number of parameters. In this paper we develop a novel adaptive estimation technique of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008522322
Understanding the dynamics of high dimensional non-normal dependency structure is a challenging task. This research aims at attacking this problem by building up a hidden Markov model (HMM) for Hierarchical Archimedean Copulae (HAC), where the HAC represent a wide class of models for high...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009399336
This paper offers a new method for estimation and forecasting of the linear and nonlinear time series when the … the particular case of GARCH estimation, the proposed method is applied to stock-index series and is shown to outperform …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005677996
Measuring and modeling financial volatility is the key to derivative pricing, asset allocation and risk management. The recent availability of high-frequency data allows for refined methods in this field. In particular, more precise measures for the daily or lower frequency volatility can be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005678039
We introduce the notion of realized copula. Based on assumptions of the marginal distri- butions of daily stock returns and a copula family, realized copula is dened as the copula structure materialized in realized covariance estimated from within-day high-frequency data. Copula parameters are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010549032
We propose a general class of Markov-switching-ARFIMA processes in order to combine strands of long memory and Markov-switching literature. Although the coverage of this class of models is broad, we show that these models can be easily estimated with the DLV algorithm proposed. This algorithm...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005678044
A multiplier bootstrap procedure for construction of likelihood-based condence sets is considered for nite samples and a possible model misspecication. Theoretical results justify the bootstrap consistency for a small or moderate sample size and allow to control the impact of the parameter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011075766
and we use it for the integrals arising in rational expecta- tions and in nonlinear state space lters. The estimation step …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005677881