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Daily returns of financial assets are frequently found to exhibit positive autocorrelation at lag 1. When specifying a linear AR(l) conditional mean, one may ask how this predictability affects option prices. We investigate the dependence of option prices on autoregressive dynamics under...
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exchange the paper compares estimation results of parametric and nonparametric autoregressive models with respect to possible …
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. Institutional differences between Germany and the U.S. allow to disentangle the three main hypotheses on the announcement effect …. Consistently, abnormal returns around the announcement day are much lower in Germany than in the U.S. Although a significant …
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The efficient market hypothesis implies that asset prices cannot be cointegrated. On the other hand, arbitrage processes prevent prices of fundamentally related assets from drifting far away. An attractive model that reconciles these two conflicting facts is the nonlinear error correction...
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a comparable data set for Germany for the time period 1968-1990. We analyze this data set in order to identify a "best …/French for US stock returns is almost the best one in Germany. The book-to-market-ratio turns out to be the variable with highest …
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