When people decide about saving and consumption across the various periods of their life time they take into account their life expectancy when comparing present and future needs and resources for satisfying them. The experimental design, applied at two sites (Humboldt-University at Berlin and...

A numerical method for a class of Itô stochastic differential equations with a finite delay term is introduced. The method is based on the forward Euler approximation and is parameterised by its time step. Weak convergence with respect to a class of smooth test functionals is established by...

To assess the predictive content of the interest rate term spread for future economic growth, we distinguish short-run from long-run predictability by using two different approaches. First, following Dufour and Renault (1998) a test procedure is proposed to test for causality at different...