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Testing for short and long-run causality : the case of the yield spread and economic growth

Breitung, Jörg; Candelon, Bertrand - 2001

To assess the predictive content of the interest rate term spread for future economic growth, we distinguish short-run from long-run predictability by using two different approaches. First, following Dufour and Renault (1998) a test procedure is proposed to test for causality at different...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009617950

Tax evasion and risky investments in an intertemporal context : an experimental study

Giese, Sebastian; Hoffmann, Antje - 2000

In this experimental study of tax evasion and its determinants participants earn their income in a complex stochastic intertemporal environment including the possibility to invest into a risky asset. The earned income has to be declared in four tax returns which are randomly verified. If tax...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583891

Local risk-minimization under transaction costs

Lamberton, Damien; Pham, Huyên; Schweizer, Martin - 1998

We propose a new approach to the pricing and hedging of contingent claims under transaction costs in a general incomplete market in discrete time. Under the assumptions of a bounded mean-variance tradeoff, substantial risk and a nondegeneracy condition on the conditional variances of asset...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009576212

The costs of not knowing the radius

Rieder, Helmut; Kohl, Matthias; Ruckdeschel, Peter - 2001

We determine the increase of the maximum risk over the minimax risk in the case that the optimally robust estimator for the false radius is used. This is done by numerical solution of the implicit equations which determine optimal robustness, for location, scale, and linear regression models,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009616786

Credit risk modeling and valuation : an introduction

Giesecke, Kay - 2002

Credit risk refers to the risk of incurring losses due to unexpected changes in the credit quality of a counterparty or issuer. In this paper we give an introduction to the modeling of credit risks and the valuation of credit-risky securities. We consider individual as well as correlated credit...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009625799

Convex measures of risk and trading constraints

Föllmer, Hans; Schied, Alexander - 2001

We introduce the notion of a convex measure of risk, an extension of the concept of a coherent risk measure defined in Artzner et aL (1999), and we prove a corresponding extension of the representation theorem in terms of probability measures on the underlying space of scenarios. As a case...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009615426

Multiple politico-economic regimes, inequality and growth

Desdoigts, Alain; Moizeau, Fabien - 2001

In this paper, we abandon the stylized median voter and study (i) how distributional tensions can act in many different ways depending on social affinity and on the prospect of upward or downwardmobility of the different income classes, (ii) income distribution dynamics, intergenerational...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009615432

Coherent risk measures, valuation bounds, and (my,p)-portfolio optimization

Jaschke, Stefan R.; Küchler, Uwe - 1999

This paper presents a general theory that works out the relation between coherent risk measures, valuation bounds, and … theory presented seems to fill a gap between arbitrage valuation on the one hand and single agent utility maximization or … full-fledged equilibrium theory on the other hand. "Coherent" valuation bounds strike a balance in that the bounds can be …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009581108

Please, marry me! : an experimental study of risking a joint venture

Güth, Werner; Ivanova-Stenzel, Radosveta; Tjotta, Sigve - 1999

Empirical studies in family economics usually rely on questionnaires, statistical or panel data. Here we try to study experimentally some crucial aspects of engaging in a marriage. First the female partner can end the relationship or suggest one of the two forms of joint venture. Whereas a full...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582415

Distribution-invariant dynamic risk measures

Weber, Stefan (contributor) - 2003 - [Elektronische Ressource], rev

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001917139