Showing 1 - 10 of 11
We reexamine the expectations theory of the term structure focusing on the question how monetary policy actions indicated by changes in the very short rate affect long-term interest rates. Our main point is that the expectations hypothesis implies that very long rates should only react to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578577
Alternative modeling strategies for specifying subset VAR models are considered. It is shown that under certain conditions a testing procedure based on t-ratios is equivalent to sequentially eliminating lags that lead to the largest improvement in a prespecified model selection criterion. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583885
According to the Sharpe-Lintner capital asset pricing model, expected rates of return on individual stocks differ only because of their different levels of non-diversifiable risk (beta). However, Fama/French (1992) show that the two variables size and book-to-market ratio capture the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009661022
A small macroeconomic model is constructed to study the transmission of the monetary policy conducted by the Deutsche Bundesbank (DBB) since the middle of the 1970s. For this purpose quarterly, seasonally unadjusted data for the period from 1975 to 1998 are used, that is, the period until the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009616780
exchange the paper compares estimation results of parametric and nonparametric autoregressive models with respect to possible …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580468
It is argued that standard impulse response analysis based on vector autoregressive models has a number of shortcomings. Although the impulse responses are estimated quantities, measures for sampling variability such as confidence intervals are often not provided. If confidence intervals are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580485
problem of online estimation of current values of w = w(T) and a = a(T) from the observations SI , ... ,ST. We propose an … adaptive method of estimation which does not use any information about time homogeneity of the obscured process. We apply this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582392
Recent investigations of the transmission mechanism of German monetary policy arrive at quite different conclusions regarding its stability during the period of monetary targeting by the Bundesbank. In this study small dynamic models for the monetary sector of the German economy are analyzed in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583433
alternative for modelling financial data exhibiting skewness and fat tails. In this paper we explore the Bayesian estimation of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612011
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001917087