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Testing for short and long-run causality : the case of the yield spread and economic growth

Breitung, Jörg; Candelon, Bertrand - 2001

To assess the predictive content of the interest rate term spread for future economic growth, we distinguish short-run from long-run predictability by using two different approaches. First, following Dufour and Renault (1998) a test procedure is proposed to test for causality at different...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009617950

Estimation and testing for varying coefficients in additive models with marginal integration

Yang, Lijian; Härdle, Wolfgang; Park, Byeong U. - 2002

regression model. Asymptotic distribution theory is developed for the estimation method which enjoys the same rate of convergence … as univariate function estimation. For the test statistic, asymptotic normal theory is established. These theoretical …We propose marginal integration estimation and testing methods for the coefficients of varying coefficient multivariate …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009627286

Sources of German unemployment : a structural vector error correction analysis

Brüggemann, Ralf - 2001

. We compare these results to results from a standard SVECM and find that, using the Subset VECM reduces estimation …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613616

Flexible stochastic volatility structures for high frequency financial data

Feldmann, David; Härdle, Wolfgang; Hafner, Christian M.; … - 1998

Stochastic Volatility (SV) models are widely used in financial applications. To decide whether standard parametric restrictions are justified for a given dataset, a statistical test is required. In this paper, we develop such a test based on the linear state space representation. We provide a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578026

Forecasting performance of market share attraction models : a comparison of different models assuming that competitors’ actions are forecasts

Klapper, Daniel; Herwartz, Helmut - 1998

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578563

Modelling exchange rates volatility with multivariate long-memory ARCH processes

Teyssière, Gilles - 1999 - Rev.

, and the Deutschmark-US dollar. The estimation results for both models show: (i) that the unrestricted model outperforms …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009579181

Money and banks : some theory and empirical evidence for Germany

Holtemöller, Oliver - 2002

. -- monetary policy ; Endogenous money ; industrial organization approach to banking theory ; money multiplier ; vector error …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620766

Real estate valuation according to standardized methods : an empirical analysis

Schulz, Rainer - 2002

Appraisals are needed for decision-making and for performance evaluation. Knowledge on the accuracy of valuation methods is of general interest for banks and investors. We assess the accuracy of the German Regulation on Valuation with monthly data on appraisals and prices for commercial...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009625798

Unemployment and input prices : a fractional cointegration approach

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2000

This paper examines the relationship between unemployment, real oil price and real interest rates in Canada. Instead of following the classical approach based on I(0) stationarity or I(1) cointegrating relationships, we use fractional integration/cointegration techniques which allow for the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614880

Multivariate volatility models

Fengler, Matthias R.; Herwartz, Helmut - 2001

Multivariate Volatility Models belong to the class of nonlinear models for financial data. Here we want to focus on multivariate GARCH models. These models assume that the variance of the innovation distribution follows a time dependent process conditional on information which is generated by...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009615423

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