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Low-probability insurance decisions : the role of concern

Schade, Christian D.; Kunreuther, Howard; Kaas, Klaus Peter - 2002

On the basis of a real high stakes insurance experiment with small probabilities of losses, we demonstrate that concern … is a more important driver of WTP for insurance than subjective probability estimates when there is ambiguity surrounding … probability insurance "puzzle" well known from the literature, where a part of individuals pays too much and a part nothing for …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621421

Structural vector autoregressive models and monetary policy analysis

Holtemöller, Oliver - 2002

possibility is to adopt restrictions from economic theory. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the implications of the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620773

A stochastic representation theorem with applications to optimization and obstacle problems

Bank, Peter; El Karoui, Nicole - 2001

We study a new type of representation problem for optional processes with connections to singular control, optimal stopping and dynamic allocation problems. As an application, we show how to solve a variant of Skorohod's obstacle problem in the context of backward stochastic differential...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620781

Adaptive wavelet Galerkin methods for linear inverse problems

Cohen, Albert; Hoffmann, Marc; Reiß, Markus - 2002

We introduce and analyse numerical methods for the treatment of inverse problems, based on an adaptive wavelet Galerkin discretization. These methods combine the theoretical advantages of the wavelet-vaguelette decomposition (WVD) in terms of optimally adapting to the unknown smoothness of the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009624840

The false consensus effect disappears if representative information and monetary incentives are given

Engelmann, Dirk; Strobel, Martin - 1999

In this paper we present an experiment on the false consensus effect. Unlike previous experiments, we provide monetary incentives for revealing the actual estimation of others' behavior. In each session and round sixteen subjects make a choice between two options simultaneously. Then they...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009581106

Lag selection in subset VAR models with an application to a US monetary system

Brüggemann, Ralf; Lütkepohl, Helmut - 2000

Alternative modeling strategies for specifying subset VAR models are considered. It is shown that under certain conditions a testing procedure based on t-ratios is equivalent to sequentially eliminating lags that lead to the largest improvement in a prespecified model selection criterion. A...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583885

A fractionally integrated model with a mean shift for the US and the UK real oil prices

Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2000

In this article we model the log of the U.S. and the U.K. real oil prices in terms of fractionally integrated processes with a mean shift. We use different versions of the tests of Robinson (1994), which have standard null and local limit distributions. The results indicate that if we model the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009611543

Modeling the US short-term interest rate by mixture autoregressive processes

Lanne, Markku; Saikkonen, Pentti - 2000

A new kind of mixture autoregressive model with GARCH errors is introduced and applied to the U.S. short-term interest rate. According to the diagnostic tests developed in the paper and further informal checks the model is capable of capturing both of the typical characteristics of the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612047

Asymptotic theory for m-estimators of boundaries

Knight, Keith (contributor) - 2003 - [Elektronische Ressource]

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001916817

A class of Health-Jarrow-Morton models in which the unbiased expectations hypothesis holds

Riedel, Frank - 1997

The unbiased expectations hypothesis states that forward rates are unbiased estimates for future short rates. Cox, Ingersoll and Ross [1] conjectured that this hypothesis should be inconsistent with the absence of arbitrage possibilities. Using the framework of Heath, Jarrow and Morton [4] we...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009632605