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Recent investigations of the transmission mechanism of German monetary policy arrive at quite different conclusions regarding its stability during the period of monetary targeting by the Bundesbank. In this study small dynamic models for the monetary sector of the German economy are analyzed in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583433
We reexamine the expectations theory of the term structure focusing on the question how monetary policy actions … tests of expectations theory this implication only requires rational expectations but not stationary risk premia. Therefore …, its empirical test sheds new light on the importance of expectations theory for the determinants of the term structure of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578577
-term rate which represents the policy variable of the DBB. Moreover, import price inflation is included as an exogenous variable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009616780
It is argued that standard impulse response analysis based on vector autoregressive models has a number of shortcomings. Although the impulse responses are estimated quantities, measures for sampling variability such as confidence intervals are often not provided. If confidence intervals are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580485
Alternative modeling strategies for specifying subset VAR models are considered. It is shown that under certain conditions a testing procedure based on t-ratios is equivalent to sequentially eliminating lags that lead to the largest improvement in a prespecified model selection criterion. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583885
possibility is to adopt restrictions from economic theory. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the implications of the … latter technique in a simple monetary framework for both Germany and the Euro area. VAR/VECM residuals are interpreted as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620773
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001917100