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Taylor rules and macroeconomic instability or how the Central Bank can pre-empt sunspot expectations

Weder, Mark (contributor) - 2003 - [Elektronische Ressource]

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001917100

Credit risk modeling and valuation : an introduction

Giesecke, Kay - 2002

Credit risk refers to the risk of incurring losses due to unexpected changes in the credit quality of a counterparty or … issuer. In this paper we give an introduction to the modeling of credit risks and the valuation of credit-risky securities …. We consider individual as well as correlated credit risks. -- compensator ; intensity ; credit risk ; default risk …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009625799

Further VAR evidence for the effectiveness of a credit channel in Germany

Holtemöller, Oliver - 2002

In this paper, the empirical relevance of the credit channel for the explanation of monetary policy transmission in … Germany during the period of monetary targeting from 1975 to 1998 is analyzed. While existing studies of the credit channel … empirical evidence for the effectiveness and relevance of a credit channel in Germany can be reported. -- vectorautoregressive …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009626675

Heterogeneous time preferences and interest rates : the preferred habitat theory revisited

Riedel, Frank - 1999

The influence of heterogeneous time preferences on the term structure is investigated. Motivated by the Preferred Habitat Theory of Modigliani and Sutch, a model for intertemporal preferences accounting for preferred habitats is proposed. In a heterogeneous world, preferred habitats can explain...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009579171

Animal spirits, technology shocks and the business cycle

Weder, Mark - 1997

In this paper a two-sector growth model allowing indeterminacy to occur at relatively mild degrees of increasing returns is developed. It is shown that these economies of scale need only be present in one sector of the economy (investment). This feature of the model, therefore, builds on...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009659067

Stabilization policy and business cycle phases in Europe : a Markov Switching VAR analysis

Beine, Michel; Candelon, Bertrand; Sekkat, Khalid - 1999

Most of the empirical studies dealing with international business cycles have disregarded the credibility issues that play an important role in the decision to join or not a monetary union. Most of empirical applications based on asymmetric shocks have failed to account for these aspects. In...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582416

Forecasting the real output using fractionally integrated techniques

Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2001

The annual structure of the real GDP in the UK, France, Germany and Italy is examined in this article by means of fractionally integrated techniques. Using a version of a testing procedure due to Robinson (1994), we show that the series can be specified in terms of I(d) statistical models with d...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613608

The great demand depression

Weder, Mark - 2001

This paper entertains the notion that disturbances on the demand side play a central role in our understanding of the Great Depression. In fact, from Euler equation residuals we are able to identify a series of unusually large negative demand shocks that appeared to have hit the U. S. economy...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614288

Fractional integration and business cycle features

Candelon, Bertrand; Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2001

We show in this article that fractionally integrated univariate models for GDP may lead to a better replication of business cycle characteristics. We firstly show that the business cycle features are clearly affected by the degree of integration as well as by the other short run components of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614295

Cyclical correlations, credit contagion, and portfolio losses

Giesecke, Kay (contributor); Weber, Stefan (contributor) - 2003 - [Elektronische Ressource]

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001919109