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The unbiased expectations hypothesis states that forward rates are unbiased estimates for future short rates. Cox, Ingersoll and Ross [1] conjectured that this hypothesis should be inconsistent with the absence of arbitrage possibilities. Using the framework of Heath, Jarrow and Morton [4] we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009632605
Alternative modeling strategies for specifying subset VAR models are considered. It is shown that under certain conditions a testing procedure based on t-ratios is equivalent to sequentially eliminating lags that lead to the largest improvement in a prespecified model selection criterion. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583885
In this article we model the log of the U.S. and the U.K. real oil prices in terms of fractionally integrated processes with a mean shift. We use different versions of the tests of Robinson (1994), which have standard null and local limit distributions. The results indicate that if we model the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009611543
A new kind of mixture autoregressive model with GARCH errors is introduced and applied to the U.S. short-term interest rate. According to the diagnostic tests developed in the paper and further informal checks the model is capable of capturing both of the typical characteristics of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612047
In this experimental study of tax evasion and its determinants participants earn their income in a complex stochastic intertemporal environment including the possibility to invest into a risky asset. The earned income has to be declared in four tax returns which are randomly verified. If tax...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583891
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001917139
incomplete market in discrete time. Under the assumptions of a bounded mean-variance tradeoff, substantial risk and a … nondegeneracy condition on the conditional variances of asset returns, we prove the existence of a locally risk-minimizing strategy … under the inclusion of transaction costs: The preceding strategy which is locally risk-minimizing inclusive of transaction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009576212
This paper presents a general theory that works out the relation between coherent risk measures, valuation bounds, and … theory presented seems to fill a gap between arbitrage valuation on the one hand and single agent utility maximization or … full-fledged equilibrium theory on the other hand. "Coherent" valuation bounds strike a balance in that the bounds can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009581108
Credit risk refers to the risk of incurring losses due to unexpected changes in the credit quality of a counterparty or …. We consider individual as well as correlated credit risks. -- compensator ; intensity ; credit risk ; default risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009625799
Empirical studies in family economics usually rely on questionnaires, statistical or panel data. Here we try to study experimentally some crucial aspects of engaging in a marriage. First the female partner can end the relationship or suggest one of the two forms of joint venture. Whereas a full...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582415