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A class of Health-Jarrow-Morton models in which the unbiased expectations hypothesis holds

Riedel, Frank - 1997

The unbiased expectations hypothesis states that forward rates are unbiased estimates for future short rates. Cox, Ingersoll and Ross [1] conjectured that this hypothesis should be inconsistent with the absence of arbitrage possibilities. Using the framework of Heath, Jarrow and Morton [4] we...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009632605

Nonparametric specification testing for continuous-time models with application to spot interest rates

Hong, Yongmiao; Li, Haitao - 2002

We propose two nonparametric transition density-based speciÞcation tests for continuous-time diffusion models. In contrast to marginal density as used in the literature, transition density can capture the full dynamics of a diffusion process, and in particular, can distinguish processes with...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621413

Heterogeneous time preferences and interest rates : the preferred habitat theory revisited

Riedel, Frank - 1999

Habitat Theory of Modigliani and Sutch, a model for intertemporal preferences accounting for preferred habitats is proposed … term bonds to shorter instruments as the Preferred Habitat Theory predicts. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009579171

Cointegrating smooth transition regressions with applications to the Asian currency crisis

Saikkonen, Pentti; Choi, In - 2000

This paper studies the smooth transition regression model where regressors are I(1) and errors are I(0). The regressors and errors are assumed to be dependent both serially and contemporaneously. Using the triangular array asymptotics, the nonlinear least squares estimator is shown to be...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612025

Modeling the US short-term interest rate by mixture autoregressive processes

Lanne, Markku; Saikkonen, Pentti - 2000

A new kind of mixture autoregressive model with GARCH errors is introduced and applied to the U.S. short-term interest rate. According to the diagnostic tests developed in the paper and further informal checks the model is capable of capturing both of the typical characteristics of the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612047

Arrow-Debreu equilibria with asymptotically heterogeneous expectations exist

Riedel, Frank - 2001

In infinite horizon economies only local equivalence of beliefs is needed to ensure the existence of an Arrow-Debreu equilibrium. In fact, agents can even disagree completely in the long run in the sense that asymptotically, their beliefs are singular. -- Heterogeneous expectations ;...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613607

Framing effects on asset markets : an experimental analysis

Kirchler, Erich; Maciejovsky, Boris; Weber, Martin - 2001

In this paper we investigate four hypotheses which are inconsistent with expected utility theory, but may well be … explained by prospect theory. It deals with framing, the non-linearity of subjective probabilities, the disposition effect, and …) found little correspondence between different experimental risk elicitation methods. -- Prospect Theory ; Framing …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613618

Mental accounting and the impact of tax penalty and audit frequency on the declaration of income : an experimental analysis

Maciejovsky, Boris; Kirchler, Erich; Schwarzenberger, … - 2001

dividend earnings. However in line with prospect theory, it can be shown that a purchase of assets is perceived as a subjective … ; prospect theory …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613619

Experimental "beauty contests" with homogeneous and heterogeneous players and with interior and boundary equilibria

Güth, Werner; Kocher, Martin; Sutter, Matthias - 2001

We study behavior in experimental beauty contests with, first, boundary and interior equilibria, and, second, homogeneous and heterogenous types of players. We find quicker and better convergence to the game-theoretic equilibrium with interior equilibria and homogeneous players. -- beauty...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614296

The influence of inventory effects and reference points on the rate of consumption

Bell, David R.; Boztuğ, Yasemin - 2001 - Rev.

The authors develop and test a model to study the influence of inventory-on-hand and price-based reference points on the consumption rate of consumers. The model is motivated by recent theoretical and empirical research which suggests inventory pressure can cause consumers to increase...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009615422