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This article is concerned with the dynamic behaviour of UK unemployment. However, instead of using traditional … suggest that the UK unemployment may be explained in terms of lagged values of the real oil prices and the real interest rate …, with the order of integration of unemployment ranging between 0.50 and 1. Thus, unemployment shows the characteristics of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582384
proposed in this article for modelling the U.K. unemployment. This enables us a better understanding of the low … fractional integration, may be a feasible way of modelling unemployment, also showing that its order of integration is much … erroneous results. -- long memory ; unemployment ; fractional integration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009611544
jobs in rough times separate analyses are carried out those who have entered the job directly from unemployment or non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580458
This paper investigates the effect of displacement on reemployment wages of socially insured West German workers who became unemployed in 1986. Because detailed information on the cause of job loss is unavailable, displacement status is imputed using a probit estimated on the German...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580479
This paper examines the relationship between unemployment, real oil price and real interest rates in Canada. Instead of …/cointegration techniques which allow for the possibility that unemployment is highly persistent. In line with other studies, we find that all … equilibrium model with highly persistent shocks might be adequate to account for the observed behaviour of unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614880
We show in this article that fractionally integrated univariate models for GDP may lead to a better replication of business cycle characteristics. We firstly show that the business cycle features are clearly affected by the degree of integration as well as by the other short run components of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614295
Multivariate Volatility Models belong to the class of nonlinear models for financial data. Here we want to focus on multivariate GARCH models. These models assume that the variance of the innovation distribution follows a time dependent process conditional on information which is generated by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009615423
In this article we model the log of the U.S. and the U.K. real oil prices in terms of fractionally integrated processes with a mean shift. We use different versions of the tests of Robinson (1994), which have standard null and local limit distributions. The results indicate that if we model the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009611543
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009611553
We make use in this article of a testing procedure suggested by Robinson (1994) for testing deterministic seasonality versus seasonal fractional integration. A new test statistic is developed to simultaneously test both, the order of integration of the seasonal component and the need of seasonal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612017