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In this article we model the log of the U.S. and the U.K. real oil prices in terms of fractionally integrated processes with a mean shift. We use different versions of the tests of Robinson (1994), which have standard null and local limit distributions. The results indicate that if we model the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009611543
A new kind of mixture autoregressive model with GARCH errors is introduced and applied to the U.S. short-term interest rate. According to the diagnostic tests developed in the paper and further informal checks the model is capable of capturing both of the typical characteristics of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612047
regression model. Asymptotic distribution theory is developed for the estimation method which enjoys the same rate of convergence … as univariate function estimation. For the test statistic, asymptotic normal theory is established. These theoretical …We propose marginal integration estimation and testing methods for the coefficients of varying coefficient multivariate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009627286
We show in the paper that the decomposition proposed by Beveridge and Nelson (1981) for models that are integrated of order one can be generalized to seasonal Arima models by means of a partial fraction decomposition. Two equivalent algorithms are proposed to optimally (in the mean squared...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009577456
The paper is concerned with the estimation of the long memory parameter in a conditionally heteroskedastic model … models ; semiparametric estimation ; modified R/S ; KPSS and V/S statistics ; periodogram …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009581091
series with a zero spectral density at some frequency. Estimation and inference can be performed using an Instrumental …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001919034
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001918978
Stochastic Volatility (SV) models are widely used in financial applications. To decide whether standard parametric restrictions are justified for a given dataset, a statistical test is required. In this paper, we develop such a test based on the linear state space representation. We provide a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578026
, and the Deutschmark-US dollar. The estimation results for both models show: (i) that the unrestricted model outperforms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009579181