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In this note the unobserved component approach underlying the software package SEATS is compared with the Beveridge-Nelson type of decomposition for seasonal time series. The main strength of the SEATS approach lies in the appealing model formulation and the careful specification and adjustment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009574877
We make use in this article of a testing procedure suggested by Robinson (1994) for testing deterministic seasonality versus seasonal fractional integration. A new test statistic is developed to simultaneously test both, the order of integration of the seasonal component and the need of seasonal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612017
We show in the paper that the decomposition proposed by Beveridge and Nelson (1981) for models that are integrated of order one can be generalized to seasonal Arima models by means of a partial fraction decomposition. Two equivalent algorithms are proposed to optimally (in the mean squared...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009577456
We propose in this article the use of a particular version of the tests of Robinson (1994) for testing seasonally fractionally integrated processes. The tests have standard null and local limit distributions and allow us to test unit and fractional seasonal roots even with different amplitudes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582382
We introduce a nonparametric smoothing procedure for nonparametric factor analaysis of multivariate time series. The asymptotic properties of the proposed procedures are derived. We present an application based on the residuals from the Fair macromodel. -- Factor Analysis ; Time Series ; Kernel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578000
We propose a nonparametric test for checking parametric hypotheses about the stationary density of weakly dependent observations. The test statistic is based on the L2-distance between a nonparametric and a smoothed version of a parametric estimate of the stationary density. It can be shown that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578009
We develop a nonparametric estimation theory in a non-stationary environment, more precisely in the framework of null …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578015
Stochastic Volatility (SV) models are widely used in financial applications. To decide whether standard parametric restrictions are justified for a given dataset, a statistical test is required. In this paper, we develop such a test based on the linear state space representation. We provide a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578026
asymptotic theory based on large aggregation intervals we derive conditions for a correspondence between both concepts. These …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578029
For over a decade, nonparametric modelling has been successfully applied to study nonlinear structures in financial time series. It is well known that the usual nonparametric models often have less than satisfactory performance when dealing with more than one lag. When the mean has an additive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578559