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estimation methodologies such as single-equation error correction and first differences specifications. A longer term perspective … is provided by a productivity-based model of the real value of the euro. Some panel regression estimates of the … relationship between intercountry relative productivity differentials and real exchange rates is presented. Using these estimates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583879
To assess the predictive content of the interest rate term spread for future economic growth, we distinguish short-run from long-run predictability by using two different approaches. First, following Dufour and Renault (1998) a test procedure is proposed to test for causality at different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009617950
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009611551
In this paper, we abandon the stylized median voter and study (i) how distributional tensions can act in many different ways depending on social affinity and on the prospect of upward or downwardmobility of the different income classes, (ii) income distribution dynamics, intergenerational...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009615432
explorative study aims to shed some light into the black-box of the matching technology by applying nonparametric estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009574874
Estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009574875
exchange rate. The separate estimation of long-run money demands leads to a "structural" error correction equation which allows …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009574885
East-West migration in Germany peaked at the beginning of the 90s although the average wage gap between Eastern and Western Germany continues to average about 25%. We analyze the propensity to migrate using microdata from the German Socioeconomic Panel. Fitting a parametric Generalized Linear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009574896
We show in the paper that the decomposition proposed by Beveridge and Nelson (1981) for models that are integrated of order one can be generalized to seasonal Arima models by means of a partial fraction decomposition. Two equivalent algorithms are proposed to optimally (in the mean squared...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009577456
We establish a relation between stochastic volatility models and the class of generalized hyperbolic distributions. These distributions have been found to fit exceptionally well to the empirical distribution of stock returns. We review the background of hyperbolic distributions and prove...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009577459