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asymptotic theory based on large aggregation intervals we derive conditions for a correspondence between both concepts. These … examining the consequences of temporal aggregation in (possibly) Granger causal systems of variables. Our approach is to compare … results allow us to differentiate between spurious contemporaneous correlation arising because of aggregation, and true …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578029
aggregated observations (see Working (1960)). This paper investigates the effect of aggregation on the relation between variables … (cointegration). It will be shown that aggregation does not distort the cointegration relation while some other features of the data … cointegration analysis seems to be robust against various aggregation strategies. -- cointegration ; aggregation ; time series …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620772
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001919034
Theory in time series analysis is often developed in the context of finite-dimensional models for the data generating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009660380
In this note the unobserved component approach underlying the software package SEATS is compared with the Beveridge-Nelson type of decomposition for seasonal time series. The main strength of the SEATS approach lies in the appealing model formulation and the careful specification and adjustment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009574877
We show in the paper that the decomposition proposed by Beveridge and Nelson (1981) for models that are integrated of order one can be generalized to seasonal Arima models by means of a partial fraction decomposition. Two equivalent algorithms are proposed to optimally (in the mean squared...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009577456
We introduce a nonparametric smoothing procedure for nonparametric factor analaysis of multivariate time series. The asymptotic properties of the proposed procedures are derived. We present an application based on the residuals from the Fair macromodel. -- Factor Analysis ; Time Series ; Kernel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578000
A test procedure based on ranks is suggested to test for nonlinear cointegration. For two (or more) time series it is assumed that there exist monotonic transformations such that the normalised series can asymptotically be represented by independent Brownian motions. Rank test procedures based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578004
filtering theory ; enlargement of filtration ; canonical decomposition ; Sturm-Liouville equation ; Volterra kernels …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578007
Testing the cointegrating rank of a vector autoregressive process with an intercept is considered. In addition to the likelihood ratio (LR) tests developed by Johansen and Juselius and others we also consider an alternative class of tests which is based on estimating the trend parameters of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578014