Showing 1 - 10 of 117
find that the volatility depends on either the interest rate level or information shocks but not on both. Finally, we … propose to describe the short term interest rate's dynamics by means of an AR(1) model with stochastic volatility. -- Term … Structure Models ; Stochastic Volatility ; ARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578570
We reexamine the expectations theory of the term structure focusing on the question how monetary policy actions indicated by changes in the very short rate affect long-term interest rates. Our main point is that the expectations hypothesis implies that very long rates should only react to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578577
To assess the predictive content of the interest rate term spread for future economic growth, we distinguish short-run from long-run predictability by using two different approaches. First, following Dufour and Renault (1998) a test procedure is proposed to test for causality at different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009617950
We introduce a new method for the estimation of discount functions, yield curves and forward curves from government … although we do show how to impose various restrictions in the estimation. Our method is based on Kernel smoothing and is … our estimation procedure is iterative, rather like the backfitting method of estimating non-parametric models. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580489
The unbiased expectations hypothesis states that forward rates are unbiased estimates for future short rates. Cox, Ingersoll and Ross [1] conjectured that this hypothesis should be inconsistent with the absence of arbitrage possibilities. Using the framework of Heath, Jarrow and Morton [4] we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009632605
We establish a relation between stochastic volatility models and the class of generalized hyperbolic distributions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009577459
Stochastic Volatility (SV) models are widely used in financial applications. To decide whether standard parametric …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578026
, and the Deutschmark-US dollar. The estimation results for both models show: (i) that the unrestricted model outperforms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009579181
- 1998, namely FX-rates measured against the US dollar (USD) and the Japanese yen (JPY). Ta account for volatility e1ustering … prices. Having identified subperiods of homogeneous volatility dynamics we concentrate on stylized facts to distinguish these … volatility regimes. The bottom level of estimated volatility turns out be considerably higher during the second part of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009616784
Multivariate Volatility Models belong to the class of nonlinear models for financial data. Here we want to focus on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009615423