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Was there a regime change in the German monetary transmission mechanism in 1983?
Candelon, Bertrand; Lütkepohl, Helmut - 2000
Recent investigations of the transmission mechanism of German monetary policy arrive at quite different conclusions regarding its stability during the period of monetary targeting by the Bundesbank. In this study small dynamic models for the monetary sector of the German economy are analyzed in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583433
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The response of long-term interest rates to news about monetary policy actions : empirical evidence for the US and Germany
Nautz, Dieter; Wolters, Jürgen - 1998
We reexamine the expectations theory of the term structure focusing on the question how monetary policy actions … tests of expectations theory this implication only requires rational expectations but not stationary risk premia. Therefore …, its empirical test sheds new light on the importance of expectations theory for the determinants of the term structure of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578577
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The transmission of German monetary policy in the pre-Euro period
Lütkepohl, Helmut; Wolters, Jürgen - 2001
A small macroeconomic model is constructed to study the transmission of the monetary policy conducted by the Deutsche Bundesbank (DBB) since the middle of the 1970s. For this purpose quarterly, seasonally unadjusted data for the period from 1975 to 1998 are used, that is, the period until the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009616780
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Comparison of bootstrap confidence intervals for impulse responses of German monetary systems
Benkwitz, Alexander; Lütkepohl, Helmut; Wolters, Jürgen - 1999
It is argued that standard impulse response analysis based on vector autoregressive models has a number of shortcomings. Although the impulse responses are estimated quantities, measures for sampling variability such as confidence intervals are often not provided. If confidence intervals are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580485
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Structural vector autoregressive models and monetary policy analysis
Holtemöller, Oliver - 2002
possibility is to adopt restrictions from economic theory. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the implications of the … latter technique in a simple monetary framework for both Germany and the Euro area. VAR/VECM residuals are interpreted as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620773
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Lag selection in subset VAR models with an application to a US monetary system
Brüggemann, Ralf; Lütkepohl, Helmut - 2000
Alternative modeling strategies for specifying subset VAR models are considered. It is shown that under certain conditions a testing procedure based on t-ratios is equivalent to sequentially eliminating lags that lead to the largest improvement in a prespecified model selection criterion. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583885
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Taylor rules and macroeconomic instability or how the Central Bank can pre-empt sunspot expectations
Weder, Mark (contributor) - 2003 - [Elektronische Ressource]
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001917100
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A psychological approach to individual differences in intertemporal consumption patterns
Brandstätter, Hermann; Güth, Werner - 1998
When people decide about saving and consumption across the various periods of their life time they take into account their life expectancy when comparing present and future needs and resources for satisfying them. The experimental design, applied at two sites (Humboldt-University at Berlin and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578010
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Forecasting performance of market share attraction models : a comparison of different models assuming that competitors’ actions are forecasts
Klapper, Daniel; Herwartz, Helmut - 1998
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578563
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Testing for short and long-run causality : the case of the yield spread and economic growth
Breitung, Jörg; Candelon, Bertrand - 2001
To assess the predictive content of the interest rate term spread for future economic growth, we distinguish short-run from long-run predictability by using two different approaches. First, following Dufour and Renault (1998) a test procedure is proposed to test for causality at different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009617950