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A class of Health-Jarrow-Morton models in which the unbiased expectations hypothesis holds
Riedel, Frank - 1997
The unbiased expectations hypothesis states that forward rates are unbiased estimates for future short rates. Cox, Ingersoll and Ross [1] conjectured that this hypothesis should be inconsistent with the absence of arbitrage possibilities. Using the framework of Heath, Jarrow and Morton [4] we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009632605
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A simple state space model of house prices
Schulz, Rainer; Werwatz, Axel - 2002
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009622676
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Real estate valuation according to standardized methods : an empirical analysis
Schulz, Rainer - 2002
Appraisals are needed for decision-making and for performance evaluation. Knowledge on the accuracy of valuation methods is of general interest for banks and investors. We assess the accuracy of the German Regulation on Valuation with monthly data on appraisals and prices for commercial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009625798
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The response of long-term interest rates to news about monetary policy actions : empirical evidence for the US and Germany
Nautz, Dieter; Wolters, Jürgen - 1998
We reexamine the expectations theory of the term structure focusing on the question how monetary policy actions … tests of expectations theory this implication only requires rational expectations but not stationary risk premia. Therefore …, its empirical test sheds new light on the importance of expectations theory for the determinants of the term structure of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578577
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Testing for short and long-run causality : the case of the yield spread and economic growth
Breitung, Jörg; Candelon, Bertrand - 2001
To assess the predictive content of the interest rate term spread for future economic growth, we distinguish short-run from long-run predictability by using two different approaches. First, following Dufour and Renault (1998) a test procedure is proposed to test for causality at different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009617950
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Estimating yield curves by Kernel smoothing methods
Linton, Oliver; Mammen, Enno; Nielsen, Jens Perch; … - 1998
We introduce a new method for the estimation of discount functions, yield curves and forward curves from government … although we do show how to impose various restrictions in the estimation. Our method is based on Kernel smoothing and is … our estimation procedure is iterative, rather like the backfitting method of estimating non-parametric models. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580489
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Lag selection in subset VAR models with an application to a US monetary system
Brüggemann, Ralf; Lütkepohl, Helmut - 2000
Alternative modeling strategies for specifying subset VAR models are considered. It is shown that under certain conditions a testing procedure based on t-ratios is equivalent to sequentially eliminating lags that lead to the largest improvement in a prespecified model selection criterion. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583885
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A fractionally integrated model with a mean shift for the US and the UK real oil prices
Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2000
In this article we model the log of the U.S. and the U.K. real oil prices in terms of fractionally integrated processes with a mean shift. We use different versions of the tests of Robinson (1994), which have standard null and local limit distributions. The results indicate that if we model the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009611543
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Modeling the US short-term interest rate by mixture autoregressive processes
Lanne, Markku; Saikkonen, Pentti - 2000
A new kind of mixture autoregressive model with GARCH errors is introduced and applied to the U.S. short-term interest rate. According to the diagnostic tests developed in the paper and further informal checks the model is capable of capturing both of the typical characteristics of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612047
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Adaptive wavelet Galerkin methods for linear inverse problems
Cohen, Albert; Hoffmann, Marc; Reiß, Markus - 2002
We introduce and analyse numerical methods for the treatment of inverse problems, based on an adaptive wavelet Galerkin discretization. These methods combine the theoretical advantages of the wavelet-vaguelette decomposition (WVD) in terms of optimally adapting to the unknown smoothness of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009624840