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Was there a regime change in the German monetary transmission mechanism in 1983?
Candelon, Bertrand; Lütkepohl, Helmut - 2000
Recent investigations of the transmission mechanism of German monetary policy arrive at quite different conclusions regarding its stability during the period of monetary targeting by the Bundesbank. In this study small dynamic models for the monetary sector of the German economy are analyzed in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583433
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The transmission of German monetary policy in the pre-Euro period
Lütkepohl, Helmut; Wolters, Jürgen - 2001
is constructed for the German monetary sector based on M3, GNP, an inflation rate, a long-term interest rate and a short …-term rate which represents the policy variable of the DBB. Moreover, import price inflation is included as an exogenous variable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009616780
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Further VAR evidence for the effectiveness of a credit channel in Germany
Holtemöller, Oliver - 2002
In this paper, the empirical relevance of the credit channel for the explanation of monetary policy transmission in Germany during the period of monetary targeting from 1975 to 1998 is analyzed. While existing studies of the credit channel rely mostly on the analysis of monetary policy effects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009626675
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The empirical determinants of the Euro : short and long run perspectives
Chinn, Menzie David - 2000
exchange rate, money stocks, industrial production, interest and inflation rates, augmented by a relative price of nontradables … estimation methodologies such as single-equation error correction and first differences specifications. A longer term perspective …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583879
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Fractional cointegration and real exchange rates
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2000
This paper uses fractional integration and cointegration in order to model the DM/dollar and the yen/dollar real exchange rates in terms of both monetary and real factors, more specifically real interest rate and labour productivity differentials. We find that whilst the individual series may be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009611542
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Testing the purchasing power parity in pooled systems of error correction models
Herwartz, Helmut; Reimers, Hans-Eggert - 2000
In this paper we test the purchasing power parity for the post Bretton Woods period for 18 main industrial countries. As base currencies we use alternatively the Deutsche mark, the Japanese yen, and the US dollar. We employ error correction models for single countries and on the level of pooled...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612044
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Estimation and testing for varying coefficients in additive models with marginal integration
Yang, Lijian; Härdle, Wolfgang; Park, Byeong U. - 2002
We propose marginal integration estimation and testing methods for the coefficients of varying coefficient multivariate … regression model. Asymptotic distribution theory is developed for the estimation method which enjoys the same rate of convergence … as univariate function estimation. For the test statistic, asymptotic normal theory is established. These theoretical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009627286
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The response of long-term interest rates to news about monetary policy actions : empirical evidence for the US and Germany
Nautz, Dieter; Wolters, Jürgen - 1998
We reexamine the expectations theory of the term structure focusing on the question how monetary policy actions indicated by changes in the very short rate affect long-term interest rates. Our main point is that the expectations hypothesis implies that very long rates should only react to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578577
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Comparison of bootstrap confidence intervals for impulse responses of German monetary systems
Benkwitz, Alexander; Lütkepohl, Helmut; Wolters, Jürgen - 1999
It is argued that standard impulse response analysis based on vector autoregressive models has a number of shortcomings. Although the impulse responses are estimated quantities, measures for sampling variability such as confidence intervals are often not provided. If confidence intervals are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580485
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Lag selection in subset VAR models with an application to a US monetary system
Brüggemann, Ralf; Lütkepohl, Helmut - 2000
Alternative modeling strategies for specifying subset VAR models are considered. It is shown that under certain conditions a testing procedure based on t-ratios is equivalent to sequentially eliminating lags that lead to the largest improvement in a prespecified model selection criterion. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583885