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The unbiasedness hypothesis -- the joint hypothesis of uncovered interest parity (UIP) and rational expectations -- has been almost universally rejected in studies of exchange rate movements. In contrast to previous studies, which have used short-horizon data, we test this hypothesis using...
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allow the insider to have free lunches with vanishing risk, or even to exercise arbitrage. -- Brownian motion ; diffusion … ; free lunch ; arbitrage ; financial markets ; insider ; progressive enlargement of filtrations ; honest time …
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currency basket, i.e. a linear combination of foreign currencies. In line with the mean-variance hedging approach, we determine …. The different estimators are compared with profit based criteria. -- exchange rates ; mean-variance hedging ; adaptive …
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This paper is devoted to the problem of hedging contingent claims in the framework of a complete two-factor jump … arbitrage-free price. Based on the results of H. Föllmer and P. Leukert [4][ 5] in a general semimartingale setting, we … determine the unique hedging strategies which minimize a suitably defined shortfall risk under a given cost constraint. We …
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absence of arbitrage for the large investor, and using approximation results for stochastic integrals, we characterize the set …
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study the question what an investor can do who is unwilling to spend that much, and who is ready to use a hedging strategy … which succeeds with high probability. -- Hedging ; superhedging ; Neyman Pearson lemma ; stochastic volatility ; value at …
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