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Animal spirits, technology shocks and the business cycle
Weder, Mark - 1997
In this paper a two-sector growth model allowing indeterminacy to occur at relatively mild degrees of increasing returns is developed. It is shown that these economies of scale need only be present in one sector of the economy (investment). This feature of the model, therefore, builds on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009659067
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The great demand depression
Weder, Mark - 2001
This paper entertains the notion that disturbances on the demand side play a central role in our understanding of the Great Depression. In fact, from Euler equation residuals we are able to identify a series of unusually large negative demand shocks that appeared to have hit the U. S. economy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614288
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Structural vector autoregressive models and monetary policy analysis
Holtemöller, Oliver - 2002
. Another approach uses the information given by the history of the variables (generalized impulse response functions). A third … possibility is to adopt restrictions from economic theory. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the implications of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620773
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Low-probability insurance decisions : the role of concern
Schade, Christian D.; Kunreuther, Howard; Kaas, Klaus Peter - 2002
On the basis of a real high stakes insurance experiment with small probabilities of losses, we demonstrate that concern is a more important driver of WTP for insurance than subjective probability estimates when there is ambiguity surrounding the estimate. Concern is still important when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621421
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Lag selection in subset VAR models with an application to a US monetary system
Brüggemann, Ralf; Lütkepohl, Helmut - 2000
Alternative modeling strategies for specifying subset VAR models are considered. It is shown that under certain conditions a testing procedure based on t-ratios is equivalent to sequentially eliminating lags that lead to the largest improvement in a prespecified model selection criterion. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583885
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Learning to bid : an experimental study of bid function adjustments in auctions and fair division games
Güth, Werner; Ivanova-Stenzel, Radosveta; Königstein, … - 1999
sequencing structure of game types, game rules do matter, and directional learning theory offers a partial explanation for bid …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009581102
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Robust learning experiments : evidence for learning and deliberation
Güth, Werner - 2000
Robust learning experiments confront participants with structurally different decision environments which they encounter, furthermore, repeatedly. Since the decision format does not depend on the rules (of game), forward looking deliberation (the shadow of the future) can be detected by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612041
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Limited depth of reasoning and failure of cascade formation in the laboratory
Kübler, Dorothea; Weizsäcker, Georg - 2000
We examine the robustness of information cascades in laboratory experiments. Apart from the situation in which each … costly signals is studied where players decide whether to obtain private information or not, at a small but positive cost. In … the equilibrium of this game, only the first player buys a signal and chooses an urn based on this information whereas all …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612571
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The false consensus effect disappears if representative information and monetary incentives are given
Engelmann, Dirk; Strobel, Martin - 1999
provide information about other subjects' choices. There we find no false consensus effect. At an aggregate level, subjects … not provide information. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009581106
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Through trial & error to collusion
Huck, Steffen; Oechssler, Joerg; Normann, Hans-Theo - 1999
In this note we study a very simple trial & error learning process in the context of a Cournot oligopoly. Without any knowledge of the payoff functions players increase, respectively decrease, their quantity by one unit as long as this leads to higher profits. We show that despite the absence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580461