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This paper examines the relationship between unemployment, real oil price and real interest rates in Canada. Instead of …/cointegration techniques which allow for the possibility that unemployment is highly persistent. In line with other studies, we find that all … equilibrium model with highly persistent shocks might be adequate to account for the observed behaviour of unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614880
proposed in this article for modelling the U.K. unemployment. This enables us a better understanding of the low … fractional integration, may be a feasible way of modelling unemployment, also showing that its order of integration is much … erroneous results. -- long memory ; unemployment ; fractional integration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009611544
In this article we model the log of the U.S. and the U.K. real oil prices in terms of fractionally integrated processes with a mean shift. We use different versions of the tests of Robinson (1994), which have standard null and local limit distributions. The results indicate that if we model the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009611543
A new kind of mixture autoregressive model with GARCH errors is introduced and applied to the U.S. short-term interest rate. According to the diagnostic tests developed in the paper and further informal checks the model is capable of capturing both of the typical characteristics of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612047
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001918978
orthogonal decompositions which may be avoided by using the Beveridge-Nelson approach. The German unemployment series is studied …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009574877
We introduce a nonparametric smoothing procedure for nonparametric factor analaysis of multivariate time series. The asymptotic properties of the proposed procedures are derived. We present an application based on the residuals from the Fair macromodel. -- Factor Analysis ; Time Series ; Kernel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578000
We propose a nonparametric test for checking parametric hypotheses about the stationary density of weakly dependent observations. The test statistic is based on the L2-distance between a nonparametric and a smoothed version of a parametric estimate of the stationary density. It can be shown that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578009
We develop a nonparametric estimation theory in a non-stationary environment, more precisely in the framework of null …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578015
Stochastic Volatility (SV) models are widely used in financial applications. To decide whether standard parametric restrictions are justified for a given dataset, a statistical test is required. In this paper, we develop such a test based on the linear state space representation. We provide a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578026