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Should smart investors buy funds with high returns in the past?

Palomino, Frédéric; Uhlig, Harald - 2002

Newspapers and weekly magazines catering to the investing crowd often rank funds according to the returns generated in the past. Aside from satisfying sheer curiosity, these numbers are probably also the basis on which investors pick a fund to invest in. In this article, we fully characterize...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621416

How accurate do markets predict the outcome of an event? : the Euro 2000 soccer championships experiment

Schmidt, Carsten; Werwatz, Axel - 2002 - Rev.

For the Euro 2000 Soccer Championships an experimental asset market was condueted, with traders buying and selling contracts on the winners of individual matches. Market-generated probabilities are compared to professional bet quotas, and factors that are responsible for the quality of the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621415

Tax clientele effects in the German bond market

Stehle, Richard; Jaschke, Stefan R.; Wernicke, S. - 1998

This paper presents an analysis of tax clientele effects in the German government bond market from the viewpoint of private investors. The methods developed here allow the identification of bonds that are over-valued from the viewpoint of a certain tax class, the estimation of tax-specific term...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009574878

Default compensator, incomplete information, and the term structure of credit spreads

Giesecke, Kay - 2001

We provide a framework for the analysis of term structures of credit spreads on corporate bonds in the presence of informational asymmetries. While bond investors observe default incidents, we suppose that they have incomplete information on the firm's assets and/or the threshold asset level at...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620780

Fractional cointegration and tests of present value models

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2000

This paper tests the validity of Present Value (PV) models of stock prices by employing a two-step strategy for testing the null hypothesis of no cointegration against alternatives which are fractionally cointegrated. Monte Carlo simulations are conducted to evaluate the power and size...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582383

Nonparametric methods on continuous-time finance : a selective review

Cai, Zongwu (contributor); Hong, Yongmiao (contributor) - 2003 - [Elektronische Ressource]

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001919184

Strategies, heuristics and the relevance of risk aversion in a dynamic decision problem

Müller, Wieland - 1999

In this paper I consider a complex decision problem where subjects have to cope with a time horizon of uncertain … economic theory suggests to solve the decision problem. But since real decision makers can hardly be expected to behave …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009581111

Dynamic decision structure and risk taking

Eichberger, Jürgen; Güth, Werner; Müller, Wieland - 1999

This paper investigates the behaviour in repeated decision situations. The experimental study shows that subjects show … low or no risk-aversion, but put very high value on the opportunity to sell the lottery in every stage of the decision … behaviour ; decision-making experiments …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582412

Semiparametric modelling of the cross-section of expected returns in the German stock market

Stehle, Richard; Bunke, Olaf; Sommerfeld, Volker - 1997

According to the Sharpe-Lintner capital asset pricing model, expected rates of return on individual stocks differ only because of their different levels of non-diversifiable risk (beta). However, Fama/French (1992) show that the two variables size and book-to-market ratio capture the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009661022

Manipulation in political stock markets : preconditions and evidence

Hansen, Jan; Schmidt, Carsten; Strobel, Martin - 2001

Political stock markets (PSM) are sometimes seen as substitutes for opinion polls. On the bases of a behavioral model, specific preconditions were drawn out under which manipulation in PSM can weaken this argument. Evidence for manipulation is reported from the data of two separate PSM during...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614875