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Temporal aggregation and causality in multiple time series models

Breitung, Jörg; Swanson, Norman R. - 1998

In this paper we characterize what has sometimes been referred to in the literature as instantaneous causality, by examining the consequences of temporal aggregation in (possibly) Granger causal systems of variables. Our approach is to compare the concept of contemporaneous correlation due to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578029

Testing for short and long-run causality : the case of the yield spread and economic growth

Breitung, Jörg; Candelon, Bertrand - 2001

To assess the predictive content of the interest rate term spread for future economic growth, we distinguish short-run from long-run predictability by using two different approaches. First, following Dufour and Renault (1998) a test procedure is proposed to test for causality at different...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009617950

Structural equation models for finite mixtures : simulation results and empirical applications

Temme, Dirk; Williams, John R.; Hildebrandt, Lutz - 2002

Unobserved heterogeneity is a serious but often neglected problem in structural equation modelling (SEM) challenging the validity of many empirical results. Recently, a finite mixture approach to SEM has been proposed to resolve this problem but until now only a few studies analyse the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621412

Rank tests for nonlinear cointegration

Breitung, Jörg - 1998

A test procedure based on ranks is suggested to test for nonlinear cointegration. For two (or more) time series it is … is no cointegration between the time series, the sequences of ranks tend to diverge, whereas under cointegration the … perform better than their parametric competitors. To test for nonlinear cointegration a variable addition test based on ranks …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578004

Testing for the cointegrating rank of a VAR process with an intercept

Saikkonen, Pentti; Lütkepohl, Helmut - 1998

Testing the cointegrating rank of a vector autoregressive process with an intercept is considered. In addition to the likelihood ratio (LR) tests developed by Johansen and Juselius and others we also consider an alternative class of tests which is based on estimating the trend parameters of the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578014

Testing for the cointegrating rank of a VAR process with structural shifts

Saikkonen, Pentti; Lütkepohl, Helmut - 2001

cointegration tests are applied to the adjusted series. The resulting tests are shown to have known limiting null distributions …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578552

Canonical correlation statistics for testing the cointegration rank in a reversed order

Breitung, Jörg - 1998

to construct a confidence set for the cointegration rank. As the latter test, our tests are based on the eigenvalues of a … to Johansen's LR tests for determining the cointegration rank. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578561

Local power of likelihood ratio tests for the cointegrating rank of a VAR process

Saikkonen, Pentti; Lütkepohl, Helmut - 1997

Likelihood ratio (LR) tests for the cointegrating rank of a vector autoregressive (VAR) process have been developed under different assumptions regarding deterministic terms. For instance, nonzero mean terms and linear trends have been accounted for in some of the tests. In this paper we provide...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009659070

Trend adjustment prior to testing for the cointegrating rank of a VAR process

Saikkonen, Pentti; Lütkepohl, Helmut - 1997

Testing the cointegrating rank of a vector autoregressive process which may have a deterministic linear trend is considered. Previous proposals for dealing with such a situation are either to allow for a deterministic trend term in computing a suitable test statistic or else remove the linear...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009659627

Order selection in testing for the cointegrating rank of a VAR process

Lütkepohl, Helmut; Saikkonen, Pentti - 1997

The impact of the choice of the lag length on tests for the number of cointegration relations in a vector … simulation study we find that small sample power and size of LR cointegration tests strongly depend on the choice of the lag …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009660377