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Cointegrated VARMA models can be parameterized by using the echelon form, which is characterized by the Kronecker indices. Three different methods for estimating the Kronecker indices of cointegrated echelon form VARMA models are discussed and compared. They have the common feature of estimating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009630541
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We propose in this article a general time series model, whose components are modelled in terms of fractionally integrated processes. This specification allows us to consider the trend, the seasonal and the cyclical components as stochastic processes, including the unit root models as particular...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612016
We show in this article that fractionally integrated univariate models for GDP may lead to a better replication of business cycle characteristics. We firstly show that the business cycle features are clearly affected by the degree of integration as well as by the other short run components of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614295
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In this paper we introduce a bootstrap procedure to test parameter restrictions in vector autoregressive models which is robust in cases of conditionally heteroskedastic error terms. The adopted wild bootstrap method does not require any parametric specification of the volatility process and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009663846
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considered here. Using vector autoregressive models, impulse response analysis and forecast error variance decompositions, strong …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009626675
parsimonious as possible, (ii) the accuracy of the implied impulse-responses and (iii) the forecast performance of the models … size. We find that subset strategies and PcGets are close competitors in many respects, with the forecast comparison …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009627281
Testing the cointegrating rank of a vector autoregressive process with an intercept is considered. In addition to the likelihood ratio (LR) tests developed by Johansen and Juselius and others we also consider an alternative class of tests which is based on estimating the trend parameters of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578014