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We study behavior in experimental beauty contests with, first, boundary and interior equilibria, and, second, homogeneous and heterogenous types of players. We find quicker and better convergence to the game-theoretic equilibrium with interior equilibria and homogeneous players. -- beauty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614296
The unbiased expectations hypothesis states that forward rates are unbiased estimates for future short rates. Cox, Ingersoll and Ross [1] conjectured that this hypothesis should be inconsistent with the absence of arbitrage possibilities. Using the framework of Heath, Jarrow and Morton [4] we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009632605
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001919145
In 2001, the Fed has lowered interest rates in a series of cuts, starting from 6.5 % at the end of 2000 to 2.0 % by early November. This paper asks, whether the Federal Reserve Bank has been surprising the markets, taking as given the conventional view about the effect of monetary policy shocks....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009618362
The authors develop and test a model to study the influence of inventory-on-hand and price-based reference points on the consumption rate of consumers. The model is motivated by recent theoretical and empirical research which suggests inventory pressure can cause consumers to increase...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009615422
In infinite horizon economies only local equivalence of beliefs is needed to ensure the existence of an Arrow-Debreu equilibrium. In fact, agents can even disagree completely in the long run in the sense that asymptotically, their beliefs are singular. -- Heterogeneous expectations ;...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613607
In this paper we investigate four hypotheses which are inconsistent with expected utility theory, but may well be … explained by prospect theory. It deals with framing, the non-linearity of subjective probabilities, the disposition effect, and …) found little correspondence between different experimental risk elicitation methods. -- Prospect Theory ; Framing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613618
increasing covariation of price inflation and declining correlation of wage inflation and real wage growth within EMU countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580474
Most of the empirical studies dealing with international business cycles have disregarded the credibility issues that play an important role in the decision to join or not a monetary union. Most of empirical applications based on asymmetric shocks have failed to account for these aspects. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582416
In a complete financial market every contingent claim can be hedged perfectly. In an incomplete market it is possible to stay on the safe side by superhedging. But such strategies may require a large amount of initial capital. Here we study the question what an investor can do who is unwilling...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009574876