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Fractional integration and the dynamics of UK unemployment

Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; Henry, S. G. B. - 2000

This article is concerned with the dynamic behaviour of UK unemployment. However, instead of using traditional approaches based on I(0) stationary or I(1) (integrated and/or cointegrated) models, we use the fractional integration framework. In doing so, we allow for a more careful study of the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582384

A fractionally integrated model with a mean shift for the US and the UK real oil prices

Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2000

In this article we model the log of the U.S. and the U.K. real oil prices in terms of fractionally integrated processes with a mean shift. We use different versions of the tests of Robinson (1994), which have standard null and local limit distributions. The results indicate that if we model the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009611543

Flexible stochastic volatility structures for high frequency financial data

Feldmann, David; Härdle, Wolfgang; Hafner, Christian M.; … - 1998

Stochastic Volatility (SV) models are widely used in financial applications. To decide whether standard parametric …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578026

Modeling the interdependence of volatility and inter-transaction duration processes

Grammig, Joachim; Wellner, Marc - 1999

simultaneous estimation of the interdependent duration-volatility model. In an empirical application we utilize the model for an … indirect test of the hypothesis that volatility is caused by private information that affects prices when informed investors … trade. The result that volatility shocks significantly increase expected inter-transaction durations supports this …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009579173

Option pricing under linear autoregressive dynamics, heteroskedasticity, and conditional leptokurtosis

Hafner, Christian M.; Herwartz, Helmut - 1999

prices caused by stochastic volatility. -- option pricing ; autoregression ; heteroskedasticity ; GARCH ; leverage effect …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580460

Risk premia and financial modelling without measure transformation

Platen, Eckhard - 2000

This paper describes a financial market modelling framework that exploits the notion of a deflator . The denominations of the deflator measured in units of primary assets form a minimal set of basic financial quantities that completely specify the overall market dynamics, where deflated asset...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612031

A local instrumental estimation method for generalized additive volatility models

Kim, Woocheol; Linton, Oliver - 2000

We investigate a new separable nonparametric model for time series, which includes many ARCH models and AR models already discussed in the literature. We also propose a new estimation procedure based on a localization of the econometric method of instrumental variables. Our method has...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612037

Financial price fluctuations in a stock market model with many interacting agents

Horst, Ulrich - 2001

We consider a financial market model with a large number of interacting agents. Investors are heterogeneous in their expectations about the future evolution of an asset price process. Their current expectation is based on the previous states of their "neighbors" and on a random signal about the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613599

Semiparametric diffusion estimation and application to a stock market index

Härdle, Wolfgang; Kleinow, Torsten; Korostelev, … - 2001

The analysis of diffusion processes in financial models is crucially dependent on the form of the drift and diffusion coefficient functions. A methodology is proposed for estimating and testing coefficient functions for ergodic diffusions that are not directly observable. It is based on...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613611

Empirical modeling of the DEM/USD and DEM/JPY foreign exchange rate: Structural shifts in GARCH-models and their implications

Herwartz, Helmut; Reimers, Hans-Eggert - 2001

- 1998, namely FX-rates measured against the US dollar (USD) and the Japanese yen (JPY). Ta account for volatility e1ustering … prices. Having identified subperiods of homogeneous volatility dynamics we concentrate on stylized facts to distinguish these … volatility regimes. The bottom level of estimated volatility turns out be considerably higher during the second part of the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009616784