The paper is concerned with the problem of variance estimation for a high-dimensional regression model. The results show that the accuracy n -1/2 of variance estimation can be achieved only under some restrictions on smoothness properties of the regression function and on the dimensionality of...

VaR models are related to statistical forecast systems. Within that framework different forecast tasks including Value-at-Risk and shortfall are discussed and motivated. A backtesting method based on the shortfall is developed and applied to VaR forecasts of areal portfolio. The analysis shows...

This paper derives conditions for the existence of fourth moments of multivariate GARCH processes in the general vector specification and gives explicit results for the fourth moments and autocovariances of the squares and cross-products. Results are provided for the kurtosis and co-kurtosis...

We consider a problem of estimation of parametric components in a partial linear model. Suppose that a finite set E of linear estimators is given. Our goal is to mimic the estimator in E that has the smallest risk. Using a second order expansion of the risk of linear estimators we propose a...

We consider an additive model with second order interaction terms. It is shown how the components of this model can be estimated using marginal integration, and the asymptotic distribution of the estimators is derived. Moreover, two test statistics for testing the presence of interactions are...

This methodological paper discusses the application of "adaptive" non-parametric procedures for estimating regression functions or contrasts in situations with quantitative regressands and qualitative regressors. We propose to apply an adaptive regressogram, that is the selection of a...

A recipe is provided for producing, from a sequence of procedures in the Gaussian regression model, an asymptotically equivalent sequence in the density estimation model with i. i. d. observations. The recipe is, to put it roughly, to calculate square roots of normalised frequencies over certain...