This paper offers a new approach for estimation and forecasting of the volatility of financial time series. No assumption is made about the parametric form of the processes, on the contrary we only suppose that the volatility can be approximated by a constant over some interval. In such a...

We construct pointwise confidence intervals for regression functions. The method uses nonparametric kernel estimates and the "moment-oriented" bootstrap method of Bunke which is a wild bootstrap based on smoothed local estimators of higher order error moments. We show that our bootstrap...

Based on daily VDAX data this paper analyzes the factors governing the movements of implied volatilities of options on the German stock index DAX. Using Principal Components Analysis over the sample period from 1996 to 1997, we derive common factors representing "shift" and "curvature" of the...

We use ideas from estimating function theory to derive new, simply computed consistent covariance matrix estimates in nonparametric regression and in a class of semiparametric problems. Unlike other estimates in the literature, ours do not require auxiliary or additional nonparametric...