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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578568
A nonparametric version of the Final Prediction Error (FPE) is proposed for lag selection in nonlinear autoregressive time series. We derive its consistency for both local constant and local linear estimators using a derived optimal bandwidth. Further asymptotic analysis suggests a greater...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009659069
Alternative modeling strategies for specifying subset VAR models are considered. It is shown that under certain conditions a testing procedure based on t-ratios is equivalent to sequentially eliminating lags that lead to the largest improvement in a prespecified model selection criterion. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583885
The paper considers the derivation of weak discrete time approximations for solutions of stochastic differential equations with time delay. These are suitable for Monte Carlo simulation and allow the computation of expectations for functionals of stochastic delay equations. The suggested...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613605
A test procedure based on ranks is suggested to test for nonlinear cointegration. For two (or more) time series it is … is no cointegration between the time series, the sequences of ranks tend to diverge, whereas under cointegration the … perform better than their parametric competitors. To test for nonlinear cointegration a variable addition test based on ranks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578004
Testing the cointegrating rank of a vector autoregressive process with an intercept is considered. In addition to the likelihood ratio (LR) tests developed by Johansen and Juselius and others we also consider an alternative class of tests which is based on estimating the trend parameters of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578014
cointegration tests are applied to the adjusted series. The resulting tests are shown to have known limiting null distributions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578552
Testing the cointegrating rank of a vector autoregressive process which may have a deterministic linear trend is considered. Previous proposals for dealing with such a situation are either to allow for a deterministic trend term in computing a suitable test statistic or else remove the linear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009659627
The impact of the choice of the lag length on tests for the number of cointegration relations in a vector … simulation study we find that small sample power and size of LR cointegration tests strongly depend on the choice of the lag …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009660377
stability theory developed for Markov chains. Stationarity, existence of second moments of the stationary distribution, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009616775