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Framing effects on asset markets : an experimental analysis
Kirchler, Erich; Maciejovsky, Boris; Weber, Martin - 2001
In this paper we investigate four hypotheses which are inconsistent with expected utility theory, but may well be … explained by prospect theory. It deals with framing, the non-linearity of subjective probabilities, the disposition effect, and …) found little correspondence between different experimental risk elicitation methods. -- Prospect Theory ; Framing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613618
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Robust learning experiments : evidence for learning and deliberation
Güth, Werner - 2000
Robust learning experiments confront participants with structurally different decision environments which they encounter, furthermore, repeatedly. Since the decision format does not depend on the rules (of game), forward looking deliberation (the shadow of the future) can be detected by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612041
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From full to bounded rationality : the limits of unlimited rationality
Güth, Werner; Kliemt, Hartmut - 2001
of boundedly rational individuals. In view of such a causal role of theories we discuss how advice of a theory of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612562
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Experimental "beauty contests" with homogeneous and heterogeneous players and with interior and boundary equilibria
Güth, Werner; Kocher, Martin; Sutter, Matthias - 2001
We study behavior in experimental beauty contests with, first, boundary and interior equilibria, and, second, homogeneous and heterogenous types of players. We find quicker and better convergence to the game-theoretic equilibrium with interior equilibria and homogeneous players. -- beauty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614296
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A class of Health-Jarrow-Morton models in which the unbiased expectations hypothesis holds
Riedel, Frank - 1997
The unbiased expectations hypothesis states that forward rates are unbiased estimates for future short rates. Cox, Ingersoll and Ross [1] conjectured that this hypothesis should be inconsistent with the absence of arbitrage possibilities. Using the framework of Heath, Jarrow and Morton [4] we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009632605
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Through trial & error to collusion
Huck, Steffen; Oechssler, Joerg; Normann, Hans-Theo - 1999
In this note we study a very simple trial & error learning process in the context of a Cournot oligopoly. Without any knowledge of the payoff functions players increase, respectively decrease, their quantity by one unit as long as this leads to higher profits. We show that despite the absence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580461
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Does cascade behavior in information cascades reflect Bayesian updating? : an experimental study
Oberhammer, Clemens; Stiehler, Andreas - 2001
Updating behavior in cascade experiments is usually investigated on the basis of urn prediction. But urn predictions alone can only provide a very rough information on individual updating behavior. Therefore, we implement a BDM mechanism. Subjects have to submit maximum prices that they are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613603
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Simultaneous over- and underconfidence : evidence from experimental asset markets
Maciejovsky, Boris; Kirchler, Erich - 2001
In this paper individual overconfidence within the context of an experimental asset market is investigated. Overall, 72 participants traded one risky asset on six markets of 12 participants each. The results indicate that individuals were not generally overconfident. Moreover, overconfidence was...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614297
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Quantile hedging
Föllmer, Hans; Leukert, Peter - 1998
which succeeds with high probability. -- Hedging ; superhedging ; Neyman Pearson lemma ; stochastic volatility ; value at …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009574876
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A note on stochastic volatility, GARCH models, and hyperbolic distributions
Jaschke, Stefan R. - 1997
We establish a relation between stochastic volatility models and the class of generalized hyperbolic distributions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009577459